About NIGHTHAWK

Defense aerospace intelligence platform. Production forecasts + live global events + AI analysis. Built by ML-NIGHTWORX.

Data Sources

Source	Type	Records	Coverage	License
HAWK1 Military Aircraft CSV	Fixed-wing production forecast	97 programs (deduped)	2015–2039, $997B	Public forecast data
Teal Group 1641 Rotorcraft	Rotorcraft production forecast	84 programs	2025–2034, 12K units	Teal Group forecast
GDELT Cloud API v2	Live global events	Real-time (24h window)	13 categories, 45 tools	GDELT Cloud (API key)
Google Gemini API	AI chat engine	On-demand	Gemini 2.5 Flash / Pro	Google AI Studio

Methodology

NIGHTHAWK was built using the ML-NIGHTWORX swarm — eight AI agents working in parallel on free open-source models:

Agent	Role	Model	Output
THEIA-1	Geopolitical balance	gemma-4-31b (free)	NATO 80.8% vs China 7.2% vs Russia 7.0%
THEIA-2	Market concentration	nemotron-550b (free)	HHI=1,714, CR4=67.8%, LM 34.3%
THEIA-3	Emerging programs	nemotron-550b (free)	9 emerging, 36 sunsetting, gap analysis
SIENNA	Data quality audit	nemotron-550b (free)	4 critical duplicates (fixed), 0% math error
CHRONOS	Synthesis	gemma-4-31b (free)	7 key findings, kill criteria, HITL gate
ATLAS	Dashboard concepts	gemma-4-31b (free)	5 approaches, DOSSIER selected
JORDI	API + monetization	nemotron-550b (free)	REST API + Telegram bot + pricing
PROMETHEUS	Dashboard build	GLM-5.2 (Brain)	12-section HTML dashboard (48KB)

Key Findings CHRONOS Synthesis

1. Geopolitical asymmetry: NATO commands 80.8% ($805B). F-35A alone ($182B) exceeds all Chinese + Russian programs combined.
2. Lockheed monopoly risk: 34.3% market share. F-35 = 26.8% of entire global market. Northrop's concentration risk higher (86% from 123 B-21 units).
3. Universal production decline: NATO -62%, China -48%, Russia -21% (2025-2039). 36 programs end before 2030.
4. Strategic capability vacuums: B-21 is the only strategic bomber globally. China: zero. Russia: zero. Electronic Attack: zero post-2023.
5. Trainer pipeline: NATO 754 vs China 244 vs Russia 0. 3:1 pilot advantage compounds over 20-year lifecycle.
6. Volume-value inversion: East $40M/unit avg vs West $150M+/unit. Volume masks generational technology gap.
7. UCAV disruption: $40B+ value shift risk by 2035. Not in dataset. Largest potential market structure break.

Data Quality SIENNA Audit

The fixed-wing dataset was audited by SIENNA before analysis. Key results:

• 4 critical duplicate groups found and merged (F/A-18, KC-46A, E-2D, Yak-130)
• 0% discrepancy on units × price = total value across all 104 rows
• No missing fields, no zero-value rows, funding rows removed
• 8-10 constant columns identified for schema cleanup
• 8 engine-variant groups correctly differentiated (legitimate, not duplicates)

Kill Criteria CHRONOS

Stop investing in this dataset when ANY of the following trigger:

1. Next-gen program ingestion fails (J-20/Su-57/NGAD data can't be sourced within 60 days)
2. Sunset replacement mapping remains empty by Q4 2026 (no EA-18, P-8A, KC-46A replacements identified)
3. UCAV/loyal wingman programs remain unquantified by 2027
4. Maintenance cost > 20 hrs/quarter for <1 actionable insight

Infrastructure

Component	Platform	Cost
Dashboard (static)	Cloudflare Pages	Free
API proxy (GDELT + Gemini)	Cloudflare Worker	Free (100k req/day)
GDELT MCP integration	Hermes Agent	Free
Gemini AI chat	Google AI Studio	Included (subscription)
DNS + SSL + CDN	Cloudflare	Free
Domain	ml-nightworx.io (owned)	Existing
Total		$0.00

AI Agent Discovery

NIGHTHAWK is optimized for agentic search and discovery:

• robots.txt — allows all crawlers including AI agents
• llms.txt — structured capability description for LLM agents
• sitemap.xml — all pages indexed
• JSON-LD structured data — schema.org SoftwareApplication + Dataset markup
• REST API with OpenAPI-compatible response format
• Agent-to-agent USDC micropayments (Enterprise tier, coming soon)

Contact

Questions, API access, enterprise inquiries: [email protected]

Live dashboard: nighthawk.ml-nightworx.io